我国残联系统康复人才供给水平及影响路径的模糊集定性比较分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-9771.2026.02.013

《中国康复理论与实践》 ›› 2026, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (2): 233-240.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-9771.2026.02.013

我国残联系统康复人才供给水平及影响路径的模糊集定性比较分析

杨小兰¹^,²^,³^,⁴, 李凯茹¹^,²^,³^,⁴, 张泽惠¹^,²^,³^,⁴, 李进毅¹^,²^,³^,⁴, 李海燕¹^,²^,³^,⁴, 董志伟¹^,²^,³^,⁴, 井淇¹^,²^,³^,⁴()

1.山东第二医科大学管理学院，山东潍坊市 261053
2.“健康山东”重大社会风险预测与治理协同创新中心，山东潍坊市 261053
3.山东第二医科大学康复健康研究院，山东潍坊市 261053
4.山东第二医科大学ICF研究院，山东潍坊市 261053

收稿日期:2025-09-02 出版日期:2026-02-25 发布日期:2026-03-02
通讯作者: 井淇(1988-)，男，汉族，山东临朐县人，博士，教授，主要研究方向：卫生健康政策与管理。E-mail： jingq@sdsmu.edu.cn E-mail:jingq@sdsmu.edu.cn
作者简介:杨小兰(1999-)，女，汉族，重庆市人，硕士研究生，主要研究方向：卫生健康政策与管理。
基金资助:
1.国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(72004165);2.山东省高等学校"青创团队计划"团队研究课题(2022RW075)

Supply levels and influencing pathways of rehabilitation professionals in China Disabled Persons' Federation system: a study based on fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis

YANG Xiaolan¹^,²^,³^,⁴, LI Kairu¹^,²^,³^,⁴, ZHANG Zehui¹^,²^,³^,⁴, LI Jinyi¹^,²^,³^,⁴, LI Haiyan¹^,²^,³^,⁴, DONG Zhiwei¹^,²^,³^,⁴, JING Qi¹^,²^,³^,⁴()

1. School of Management, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China
2. "Healthy Shandong" Collaborative Innovation Center for Major Social Risk Prediction and Management, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China
3. Institute of Rehabilitation and Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China
4. ICF Research Institute, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China

Received:2025-09-02 Published:2026-02-25 Online:2026-03-02
Contact: JING Qi, E-mail: jingq@sdsmu.edu.cn E-mail:jingq@sdsmu.edu.cn
Supported by:
National Natural Science Foundation of China (Youth)(72004165);Shandong Province Higher Education Institutions "Youth Creative Team Program" Team Research Project(2022RW075)

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

目的探究影响我国残联系统康复人才供给的关键因素及其作用路径。

方法计算卫生资源密度指数评价2023年我国各地区残联系统康复人才供给水平；采用模糊集定性比较分析方法，对康复机构数量、残疾人康复费用、开设康复相关专业的高校数量、残疾人口数、残疾人参加社保人数以及接受基本康复服务人数等要素进行组合效应分析。

结果 2023年，我国东部、中部、西部和东北部地区卫生资源密度指数分别为25.039、12.337、7.681、9.721，上海(57.746)和山东(52.977)最高，西藏(0.175)、青海(2.215)和新疆(2.798)明显偏低；识别出高供给水平组态的3条路径(总一致性为0.909，总覆盖度为0.527)和低供给水平组态的2条路径(总一致性为0.937，总覆盖度为0.498)。

结论我国残联系统康复人才供给水平整体东部最高，中部居中，西部及东北偏低。多种因素协同影响康复人才供给水平，其中康复机构数量是直接影响因素；各种因素间的有机组合有助于实现康复人才高水平供给。

关键词: 中国残疾人联合会, 康复人才, 供给, 模糊集定性比较分析

Abstract:

Objective To explore the key factors influencing the supply of rehabilitation professionals in China's Disabled Persons' Federation system and their action paths.

Methods The Health Resource Density Indices were calculated to evaluate the supply level of rehabilitation professionals in the Disabled Persons' Federation system of various regions in China in 2023. The configuration of factors, such as the number of rehabilitation institutions, rehabilitation expenses for persons with disabilities, the number of universities offering rehabilitation-related programs, the number of persons with disabilities, the number of persons with disabilities participating in social insurance, and the number of persons receiving basic rehabilitation services, were analyzed using fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis.

Results In 2023, the Health Resource Density Indices of the eastern, central, western and northeastern regions of China were 25.039, 12.337, 7.681 and 9.721, respectively. Shanghai (57.746) and Shandong (52.977) were the highest, while Tibet (0.175), Qinghai (2.215) and Xinjiang (2.798) were obviously lower. Three pathways of high supply level configurations (overall consistency = 0.909, overall coverage = 0.527) and two pathways of low supply level configurations (overall consistency = 0.937, overall coverage = 0.498) were identified.

Conclusion The supply levels of rehabilitation professionals in China's Disabled Persons' Federation system are the highest in the eastern region overall, moderate in the central region, and low in the western and northeastern regions. Multiple factors synergistically affect the supply levels of rehabilitation professionals, among which the number of rehabilitation institutions is a direct determinant; the synergistic combination of various factors facilitates the achievement of high-level supply of rehabilitation professionals.

Key words: China Disabled Persons' Federation, rehabilitation professional, supply level, fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis

中图分类号:

R197.7

杨小兰, 李凯茹, 张泽惠, 李进毅, 李海燕, 董志伟, 井淇. 我国残联系统康复人才供给水平及影响路径的模糊集定性比较分析[J]. 《中国康复理论与实践》, 2026, 32(2): 233-240.

YANG Xiaolan, LI Kairu, ZHANG Zehui, LI Jinyi, LI Haiyan, DONG Zhiwei, JING Qi. Supply levels and influencing pathways of rehabilitation professionals in China Disabled Persons' Federation system: a study based on fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice, 2026, 32(2): 233-240.

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东部地区		中部地区		西部地区		东北地区
省(市、区)	HRDI	省(市、区)	HRDI	省(市、区)	HRDI	省(市、区)	HRDI
北京	21.172	山西	13.449	内蒙古	4.324	辽宁	12.633
天津	23.710	安徽	12.404	广西	10.286	吉林	11.982
河北	15.870	江西	9.855	重庆	19.552	黑龙江	4.549
上海	57.746	河南	14.807	四川	6.534
江苏	16.614	湖北	9.488	贵州	13.360
浙江	16.167	湖南	14.019	云南	8.720
福建	14.480			西藏	0.175
山东	52.977			陕西	11.132
广东	20.555			甘肃	4.602
海南	11.097			青海	2.215
				宁夏	8.478
				新疆	2.798
平均	25.039		12.337		7.681		9.721

变量名称	指标描述	完全隶属	交叉点	完全不隶属
Y	HRDI	21.17	12.39	4.32
X1	康复机构数/n	698.00	318.00	68.00
X2	残疾人康复费用/万元	8377.82	1176.90	388.13
X3	含有康复相关专业高校数/n	52.00	24.00	7.00
X4	残疾人口数/万人	197.64	105.20	22.33
X5	残疾人参加社保人数/万人	163.00	84.23	12.40
X6	接受基本康复服务人数/万人	60.75	19.15	4.78

条件变量	高康复人才供给水平		非高康复人才供给水平
条件变量	一致性	覆盖度	一致性	覆盖度
X1	0.782	0.753	0.541	0.548
非X1	0.531	0.524	0.756	0.785
X2	0.644	0.733	0.497	0.595
非X2	0.644	0.549	0.777	0.696
X3	0.698	0.719	0.586	0.635
非X3	0.646	0.597	0.741	0.720
X4	0.721	0.657	0.614	0.587
非X4	0.547	0.574	0.641	0.708
X5	0.644	0.649	0.585	0.620
非X5	0.623	0.588	0.669	0.664
X6	0.678	0.740	0.470	0.540
非X6	0.579	0.510	0.774	0.716

条件变量	高供给水平的解			非高供给水平的解
条件变量	H1	H2	H3	L1	L2
康复机构数量	++	++	++	××	××
残疾人康复费用	+	++	++	++	-
含有康复相关专业高校数量	×	×	××	×	+
残疾人口数	+	++	++	×	×
残疾人参加社保人数	××	+	××	-	+
接受基本康复服务人数	++	++	++	×	++
一致性	0.941	0.921	0.905	0.924	0.955
原始覆盖度	0.232	0.240	0.427	0.335	0.336
唯一覆盖度	0.068	0.023	0.219	0.162	0.164
总体一致性	0.909	-	-	0.937	-
总体覆盖度	0.527	-	-	0.498	-
符合条件的省份	福建	浙江	江苏、安徽、山东、湖南、广东、陕西	山西、海南、甘肃	湖北、云南

我国残联系统康复人才供给水平及影响路径的模糊集定性比较分析

Supply levels and influencing pathways of rehabilitation professionals in China Disabled Persons' Federation system: a study based on fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis

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